Saturday’s six-game slate isn’t pretty in terms of the top teams, but Tottenham are in action against a side that looks headed for relegation. They’ll be the focus of most lineups, though there are plenty more situations to capitalize on for the big EPL $40K Backheel Special [$10K to 1st].
STUDSHarry Kane, Tottenham vs. Cardiff, $11,100 — No one comes close to Kane in terms of price on this slate and he has the numbers to back it up with nine shots on goal in his last three starts (Champions League included). He has a floor around 10 points and the upside of a brace, which goes perfectly with a matchup against a Cardiff team that has allowed 16 goals in seven matches.
Other Options — Romelu Lukaku, Manchester United, $9,000; Richarlison, Everton, $8,300; Jamie Vardy, Leicester, $8,100
VALUESTroy Deeney, Watford vs. Bournemouth, $6,100 — He has the same odds to score and is more expensive than teammate Andre Gray, but he’s also more likely to play a full 90. And while Deeney’s floor is only around four points, he’s had a shot on target in all but one start this season and in the match with the second-most expected goals, he’s worth a look.
Other Options — Erik Lamela, Tottenham, $7,200; Andros Townsend, Crystal Palace, $6,700; Theo Walcott, Everton, $6,600; Kelechi Iheanacho, Leicester, $6,200
STUDSJames Maddison, Leicester vs. Everton, $8,500 — Maddison has been one of the most consistent midfielders in the early season not only because of three goals and two assists, but also 15 shots and 32 crosses. His floor can match anyone else’s in this range and he’ll get opportunities against an unpredictable Everton side, which has allowed two goals in each of their three road matches.
Other Options — Johann Berg Gudmundsson, Burnley, $9,100; Gylfi Sigurdsson, Everton, $8,900; Son Heung-Min, Tottenham, $8,000
VALUESJonjo Shelvey, Newcastle at Manchester United, $3,700 — This isn’t a great spot for Newcastle, but in a 2-0 loss last week, Shelvey still managed 9.5 fantasy points. No matter the matchup, he’s been able to produce with 16 crosses and three shots in his last three starts. It also doesn’t hurt that Man United are a mess and haven’t won their last four in all competitions.
Other Options — Philip Billing, Huddersfield, $4,900; Fred, Manchester United, $4,400; Idrissa Gueye, Everton, $3,900
STUDSLucas Digne, Everton vs. Leicester, $6,000 — There are two more expensive defenders that have a higher upside, but Digne has the same floor and has hit double-digit fantasy points in his last four starts with 34 crosses and five shots. There’s no reason that will change in this one because both Everton and Leicester like to get up and down the field and as seen in his 12.5-point performance in the loss to Arsenal, Digne is matchup proof.
Other Options — Kieran Trippier, Tottenham, $7,400; Jose Holebas, Watford, $6,700; Ricardo Pereira, Leicester, $5,500
VALUESMarc Navarro, Watford vs. Bournemouth, $4,900 — This isn’t huge value, but Navarro is underpriced if he starts again. He had five crosses against Arsenal in his Watford debut and more importantly averaged 1.63 shots and 4.97 crosses per 90 minutes with Espanyol last season. His floor is only enhanced with defensive stats and he won’t be far behind some of the top options.
Other Options — DeAndre Yedlin, Newcastle, $3,600; Chris Smalling, Manchester United, $3,500; Steve Cook, Bournemouth, $3,200
STUDSJoe Hart, Burnley vs. Huddersfield, $5,300 — You could spend more on Hugo Lloris, but why do that when Burnley have similar clean-sheet odds? In addition to being the favorite in the match with the lowest expected goal total, Hart has made at least three saves in every match. As one of the cheaper favorites, he makes the most sense.
Other Options — Hugo Lloris, Tottenham, $6,000; David De Gea, Manchester United, $5,700; Rui Patricio, Wolverhampton, $4,700
VALUESMartin Dubravka, Newcastle vs. Manchester United, $3,800 — The odds don’t say this, but I’m not convinced Man United are guaranteed to score this weekend, even at home. They had 18 shots (four on target) in their midweek draw against Valencia and couldn’t find the back of the net. Dubravka has allowed just two goals in three road matches and has 13 saves in the last four overall.
Other Options — Jonas Lossl, Huddersfield, $4,400; Asmir Begovic, Bournemouth, $4,300; Neil Etheridge, Cardiff, $3,600
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