Liverpool tower above the rest in Saturday’s fantasy soccer slate as the biggest favorite and with the most expected goals. That should make for an interesting day, especially with none of the other clubs in action in the top five of the table. The biggest question for the EPL $30K Counter Attack Special [$5K to 1st] is whether to roster Mohamed Salah or not.
STUDSMohamed Salah, Liverpool vs. Cardiff, $11,400 — Salah is the most expensive player on the slate, but he’s on the biggest favorite and has the best odds to score. Per 90 minutes, he’s averaging more shots on goal (1.77) and chances created (2.00) than teammates Roberto Firmino ($8,500) and Sadio Mane ($9,800). That’s reason alone to pick Salah over Firmino at forward, who has had numerous duds against weaker teams this season.
Other Options — Jamie Vardy, Leicester, $8,700; Raul Jimenez, Wolverhampton, $7,800; Aleksandar Mitrovic, Fulham, $7,500
VALUESNathan Redmond, Southampton vs. Newcastle, $5,400 — Redmond is purely a cash play because he still hasn’t scored, though he’s been on corners the last two matches and that’s led to 10 crosses. Even better is that Newcastle has lost their last three matches, two of those coming at home to Leicester and Brighton. Redmond doesn’t have the upside as one of Bournemouth’s forwards or even teammate Danny Ings ($6,500), but he has a better floor and is much cheaper.
Other Options — Callum Wilson, Bournemouth, $7,200; Marko Arnautovic, West Ham, $7,000; Ryan Sessegnon, Fulham, $6,200
STUDSRyan Fraser, Bournemouth at Fulham, $8,100 — Fraser has fallen off the last few matches, but that should change against a historically bad Fulham defense that’s allowed 16 goals and 13 assists in the last five matches. At the least, Fraser should get a couple of shots, something he hasn’t done in his last three starts. If that happens, his crosses will still be there and a floor of 10 fantasy points is a likely outcome.
Other Options — Sadio Mane, Liverpool, $9,800; James Maddison, Leicester, $9,100; Joao Moutinho, Wolverhampton, $7,100
VALUESPhilip Billing, Huddersfield at Watford, $4,400 — Billing’s price has gone up, yet he still has a better floor than anyone in the same range. He’s averaging 1.48 shots and 3.30 crosses per 90 minutes in addition to defensive stats and that’s often led to at least 6.5 fantasy points in six of nine matches this season. Watford is at home, yet Billing has already put in double-digit performances against Tottenham and Chelsea without making the score sheet.
Other Options — Jean Michael Seri, Fulham, $5,800; Jonjo Shelvey, Newcastle, $5,200; Beram Kayal, Brighton, $4,000
STUDSJose Holebas, Watford vs. Huddersfield, $7,100 — This one’s pretty easy because neither Liverpool defender has as high of a floor. Holebas has double-digit crosses in his last four starts and should be rested after serving a suspension last weekend. When Watford was winning, Holebas was putting in huge performances earlier in the season and he should get plenty of opportunities to make the score sheet against Huddersfield.
Other Options — Trent Alexander-Arnold, Liverpool, $6,900; Ricardo Pereira, Leicester, $6,100; Matt Doherty, Wolverhampton, $5,700
VALUESErik Durm, Huddersfield at Watford, $3,900 — Durm continues to be one of the better priced fullbacks and he’s averaging four crosses per start even though none of those matches were overly favorable. That could be said about every Huddersfield game, but Watford has allowed the fifth-most crosses (110) in the last five game weeks mostly because their two fullbacks love to go forward. At less than $4,000, you won’t find many with a floor near five points.
Other Options — Aaron Cresswell, West Ham, $4,600; DeAndre Yedlin, Newcastle, $4,000; Nathan Ake, Bournemouth, $3,800
STUDSAlisson, Liverpool vs. Cardiff, $6,000 — If you have the money, it doesn’t get easier than Alisson, who has the best odds to win and get a clean sheet. That’s how most of the season has gone as he’s already hit double-digit fantasy points in six matches. Throw in Cardiff’s lack of an attack that matched its season goal total last week against Fulham (four) and Alisson is an easy pick.
Other Options — Alex McCarthy, Southampton, $5,200; Kasper Schmeichel, Leicester, $5,100; Rui Patricio, Wolverhampton, $4,900
VALUESMartin Dubravka, Newcastle vs. Southampton, $4,300 — This match has the lowest over/under and Southampton haven’t scored in their last four league matches. Dubravka is usually good for a few saves and even if the Saints score, expecting multiple goals is a stretch.
Other Options — Lukasz Fabianski, West Ham, $4,400; Jonas Lossl, Huddersfield, $4,000, Neil Etheridge, Cardiff, $3,600
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