Saturday’s fantasy soccer slate is another small one with only five matches, and Leicester City are surprisingly the biggest favorite. Harry Kane ($10,800) is the biggest name to decide on, but is he worth it playing on the road? Focusing on the biggest favorites may be the best route for the EPL $35K Backheel Special [$5K to 1st] since Tottenham are the only big-six club in action on Saturday.
STUDSJamie Vardy, Leicester vs. Burnley, $9,000 — Kane likely will be the most popular play because of name, but Leicester are a bigger favorite and are expected to score more goals against Burnley. Vardy has a similarly low floor compared to Kane, yet Burnley have allowed 109 shots and a league-high 35 of them on goal in the past five matches. With this match also being the first at King Power Stadium since the tragic helicopter crash, emotions will be high. Vardy is in a great spot to find the back of the net for the first time since September.
Other Options — Harry Kane, Tottenham, $10,800; Marko Arnautovic, West Ham, $9,300; Callum Wilson, Bournemouth, $8,100
VALUESAndros Townsend, Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham, $6,100 — Townsend has held a surprisingly high floor despite Palace’s recent struggles. He’s reached 9.3 fantasy points in his past four starts — mostly from eight shots and 22 crosses. Townsend already has had success against Chelsea and Arsenal, so this matchup won’t limit him. Also, Tottenham have allowed the third-most shots on goal (28) and the sixth-most crosses (95) in the past five gameweeks.
Other Options — Danny Ings, Southampton, $6,600; Wilfried Zaha, Crystal Palace, $6,400; Sam Vokes, Burnley, $5,000
STUDSMarc Albrighton, Leicester vs. Burnley, $7,100 — This seems like an odd pick, but Albrighton might have one of the better floors on the slate. He’s had a ridiculous 35 crosses in the past two matches and could be on corners and set pieces against Burnley since James Maddison is injured. Burnley have allowed the most chances created (86) and fourth-most crosses (110) in the past five games, and that sets up perfectly for Albrighton on the wing in a match Leicester should find the back of the net in at least twice. Other Options — Christian Eriksen, Tottenham, $8,900; Ryan Fraser, Bournemouth, $8,200; Matt Ritchie, Newcastle, $6,400
VALUESJames Ward-Prowse, Southampton vs. Watford, $5,600 — Ward-Prowse returned to the starting XI against Man City and posted a respectable 6.8 fantasy points in 73 minutes with seven crosses and a shot on goal. Whenever on the field, he’s Southampton’s corner-taker, and that alone should allow him to reach value. Even better is that Watford have given up the fifth-most corners in the league this season at 68.
Other Options — Kenedy, Newcastle, $5,800; Robbie Brady, Burnley, $5,400; Wilfred Ndidi, Leicester, $4,100
STUDSKieran Trippier, Tottenham at Crystal Palace, $7,700 — I’m putting Trippier above Jose Holebas ($6,900) because of a better floor and slightly better matchup. Trippier has at least 10 fantasy points in every match not against Man City and Liverpool. As for Crystal Palace, they’ve allowed the second-most crosses (87) to defenders this season. Other Options — Jose Holebas, Watford, $6,900; Roberto Pereira, Leicester, $6,200; Chris Lowe, Huddersfield, $5,400
VALUESFlorent Hadergjonaj, Huddersfield vs. West Ham, $4,300 — Hadergjonaj has moved in and out of the starting XI, but that’s why he comes at a discount. He played a full 90 against Fulham on Monday and, more importantly, is averaging 4.64 crosses per 90 minutes. He’s hit seven fantasy points in all but one of his home starts and that one came against Liverpool in which he played only 69 minutes. West Ham have allowed the fifth-most crosses to defenders (82) so he’s fairly safe if he starts again.
Other Options — Charlie Taylor, Burnley, $4,100; Paul Dummett, Newcastle, $4,000; Nathan Ake, Bournemouth, $3,700
STUDSHugo Lloris, Tottenham at Crystal Palace, $5,200 — I’m not confident Lloris will get a clean sheet because he doesn’t have one in his past five starts in all competitions. However, he’s also made at least four saves in six of his last seven starts and is the second biggest favorite on the slate. Other Options — Kasper Schmeichel, Leicester, $5,400; Lukasz Fabianski, West Ham, $5,000; Asmir Begovic, Bournemouth, $4,800
VALUESBen Foster, Watford at Southampton, $4,600 — Foster is completely hit or miss. He’s had huge performances against Huddersfield and Wolves, but also combined for negative two points against Newcastle and Bournemouth. I’m more intrigued by the matchup since Southampton have one goal from their past six league matches and have scored just seven all season despite having 160 shots (50 on target).
Other Options — Jonas Lossl, Huddersfield, $4,500; Wayne Hennessey, Crystal Palace, $4,300; Joe Hart, Burnley, $4,100
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