The Premier League continues on Wednesday with Liverpool and Tottenham the biggest favorites on the slate against two teams fighting relegation. Of course, that doesn’t mean those are the only sides to back for the EPL $25K Backheel Special [$3K to 1st], especially with a couple Everton players also in a favorable spot.
Mohamed Salah, Liverpool at Burnley, $10,500 — Salah is the safest, most comfortable play on the slate and is worth the money with Liverpool the biggest favorite. His floor isn’t at last season’s level, yet he’s still averaging 3.84 shots and 2.11 chances created per 90 minutes and will find himself in the attack a good portion of this match. Burnley have allowed the most shots (114) and chances created (88) over the last five weeks and Salah will surely benefit.
Other Options — Eden Hazard, Chelsea, $10,300; Harry Kane, Tottenham, $10,100; Alexandre Lacazette, Arsenal, $8,100
Anthony Martial, Manchester United vs. Arsenal, $7,400 — Martial wasn’t in the starting XI on Sunday, but that was likely for rest and I expect him to get the call against Arsenal. He’s fallen off since scoring six goals in five starts, yet with this match having the highest expected goal total, that could change. His floor has been around eight fantasy points and since the Gunners love to attack, he’ll get chances on the break.
Other Options — Son Heung-Min, Tottenham, $7,500; Raul Jimenez, Wolverhampton, $6,800; Ayoze Perez, Newcastle, $4,900
Gylfi Sigurdsson, Everton vs. Newcastle, $8,800 — Sigurdsson provides the best value on the slate and could be the most popular player. He’s had at least 14.8 fantasy points in his last seven matches that didn’t come on the road at Liverpool, Chelsea or Arsenal. Everton are a decent home favorite against a Newcastle side that just fell 3-0 at home to West Ham. Sigurdsson is averaging 2.67 shots and 6.25 crosses per 90 minutes and should be near those numbers, if not surpass them.
Other Options — Christian Eriksen, Tottenham, $9,000; Xherdan Shaqiri, Liverpool, $8,400; James Maddison, Leicester, $7,700
Ki Sung-yueng, Newcastle at Everton, $3,700 — Ki has held a decent floor in the right situation and while Newcastle are underdogs, they should at least compete at Everton, having taken points from three of their last four on the road. If Jonjo Shelvey doesn’t start, Ki could also be on the majority of spot kicks with Matt Ritchie suspended, and that’s the biggest selling point for anyone at this price.
Other Options — Marc Albrighton, Leicester, $6,300; Aaron Ramsey, Arsenal, $5,700; Jean Michael Seri, Fulham, $5,300
Lucas Digne, Everton vs. Newcastle, $5,600 — There are a couple places to go with your top defender and I think Digne can do enough for slightly cheaper. As long as Everton aren’t on the road against a top club, he’s had a floor of 11 fantasy points, mostly from 9.09 crosses per 90 minutes. That won’t change against Newcastle, who have allowed the most crosses (47) to defenders in the last five matches.
Other Options — Kieran Trippier, Tottenham, $6,400; Trent Alexander-Arnold, Liverpool $6,000; Ashley Young, Manchester United, $5,800
Kevin Long, Burnley vs. Liverpool, $3,100 — There’s no upside with Long, but that’s why he’s a punt. Long has reached at least four fantasy points in his three starts with the help of tackles and interceptions, and will be under pressure all match with Liverpool on the attack. Liverpool are in the top 5 for both interceptions and tackles allowed to defenders this season, so it’s a perfect match.
Other Options — Cyrus Christie, Fulham, $4,300; Michael Keane, Everton, $3,900; Juan Foyth, Tottenham, $2,900
Jordan Pickford, Everton vs. Newcastle, $5,400 — Pickford has 51 fantasy points in his last four home starts and just held Liverpool to one lucky goal at Anfield. This is a great chance for another clean sheet against a Newcastle side that has scored only five goals on their last 94 shots.
Other Options — Alisson, Liverpool, $5,800; Hugo Lloris, Tottenham, $5,600; Kasper Schmeichel, Leicester, $5,000
Sergio Rico, Fulham vs. Leicester, $4,500 — Rico has made 18 saves in his last three starts and while that doesn’t seem possible against Leicester, he made six a couple weeks ago at home against Southampton. Either way, Leicester may be without top forward Jamie Vardy and have scored only one goal in each of their last three on the road.
Other Options — Rui Patricio, Wolverhampton, $4,300; Martin Dubravka, Newcastle, $4,100; Alex McCarthy, Southampton, $3,900
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