Liverpool and Arsenal lead Saturday’s slate and while it’s a tough matchup, neither team should be ignored for the EPL $30K Backheel Special [$5K to 1st] in what could be a higher-scoring game. Of course, Tottenham will be the favorite to back with the biggest odds to win after scoring 11 goals in their last two matches.
STUDSMohamed Salah, Liverpool vs. Arsenal, $10,400 — Two Tottenham players lead the pricing, but it’s hard to see them reaching five goals again and that’s if they start. It’s unlikely Salah is rested against Arsenal and the matchup isn’t as tough as it looks. The Gunners are allowing goals in most contests and recently gave up three at Southampton. Plus, Salah is in excellent form with at least 20 fantasy points in three of his last four starts. Other Options — Son Heung-Min, Tottenham, $11,000; Gylfi Sigurdsson, Everton, $8,600; Jamie Vardy, Leicester, $8,200
VALUESDemarai Gray, Leicester vs. Cardiff City, $4,600 — Leicester are coming off maybe the most impressive back-to-back wins in the league this season and while Gray hasn’t started in either, that could change against Cardiff due to fixture overload. His floor is often near five fantasy points from shots and crosses and Cardiff allow plenty of each. If Gray doesn’t start, Pascal Gross is in the same mold, but in a more difficult matchup.
Other Options — Ryan Sessegnon, Fulham, $5,300; Troy Deeney, Watford, $5,000; Pascal Gross, Brighton, $4,600
STUDSChristian Eriksen, Tottenham vs. Wolverhampton, $8,300 — At least one Tottenham attacking player should be used and Eriksen’s price is the most reasonable. There’s some worry that he won’t make the starting XI, but if he does, he’s not much further behind his teammates assuming his crossing numbers revert to normal (8.28 per 90 minutes in UCL play). Wolves haven’t been playing bad, but they struggled at Fulham and couldn’t do anything against Liverpool. Other Options — James Maddison, Leicester, $8,100; Richarlison, Everton, $8,000; Sadio Mane, Liverpool, $7,900
VALUESWilfred Ndidi, Leicester vs. Cardiff City, $4,300 — Ndidi has been one of the better value plays all season, though doesn’t have much upside for GPP purposes. He’s had at least 4.8 fantasy points in the last three matches and should be close to that with attacking possibilities against a Cardiff side that has allowed a league-high 94 shots in the last five matches.
Other Options — Jean Michael Seri, Fulham, $4,700; Ruben Neves, Wolverhampton, $4,500; Tom Cairney, Fulham, $3,600
STUDSTrent Alexander-Arnold, Liverpool vs. Arsenal, $6,100 — A lot of people will be on Lucas Digne after his recent brace, but Alexander-Arnold is a solid pivot. He returned against Newcastle and was back to normal with 14 crosses and an assist. He’s had at least eight crosses in his last four home starts and that’s no different than Digne who is more expensive. Other Options — Lucas Digne, Everton, $6,300; Jose Holebas, Watford, $6,000; Kieran Trippier, Tottenham, $5,800
VALUESSol Bamba, Cardiff City at Leicester, $3,700 — Bamba seems to get points every match and his price rarely changes because he’s a centerback. Leicester are playing well and if they control the match, that’ll likely leave plenty of opportunities for Bamba to rack up his usual defensive stats like tackles and interceptions.
Other Options — Zanka, Huddersfield, $4,000; Calum Chambers, Fulham, $4,000; Kiko Femenia, Watford, $3,900
STUDSSergio Rico, Fulham vs. Huddersfield, $5,200 — Rico doesn’t have the same clean sheet odds as others, but he’s had at least five fantasy points in seven of his last eight starts, which is better than most. A clean sheet is still possible, not only because Rico has allowed just one goal in the last two matches, but also because Huddersfield have scored only 12 goals all season. Other Options — Kasper Schmeichel, Leicester, $5,700; Alisson, Liverpool, $5,500; Ben Foster, Watford, $5,300
VALUESJonas Lossl, Huddersfield at Fulham, $4,300 — While Huddersfield have scored the fewest amount in the league, Fulham have just one goal in their last three matches and rarely score more than one. Lossl could also be set for a decent amount of saves since Fulham take plenty of shots without scoring, with three goals from their last 26 shots on target.
Other Options — Martin Dubravka, Newcastle, $4,200; Neil Etheridge, Cardiff, $3,800; Rui Patricio, Wolverhampton, $3,600
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