Manchester City is the biggest favorite on Saturday’s slate despite being on the road and everyone will have to decide if they want to spend on Sergio Aguero ($10,800), who may not see a full 90 (or start). It could be worth it to back a team like Newcastle, which has had recent success, or ride with another favorite in Wolverhampton or Manchester United in the EPL $40K Grow the Game Encore [$10K to 1st].
Marcus Rashford, Manchester United vs. Southampton, $10,000 — Rashford’s price is a bit too high and that will turn people off, but that can be a good thing. He should return to the starting XI following rest and is in a good spot to find the back of the net once again. Prior to the matches against PSG and Liverpool, he scored in five of six starts, averaging almost five shots per start. There’s no reason his floor can’t hit 10 points against Southampton, a team that has allowed the fifth-most shots on goal this season.
Other Options — Sergio Aguero, Manchester City, $10,800; Raheem Sterling, Manchester City, $9,000; Raul Jimenez, Wolverhampton, $8,900
Miguel Almiron, Newcastle at West Ham, $5,200 — In the opposite mold of Rashford, Almiron could be on 50 percent of rosters given his price. He’s cheaper despite having a respectable three shots and a floor of 4.8 points last match. If he can reach those numbers again, that’s fine for the price, and playing on the road may not be a huge factor. West Ham gave up a goal to Fulham last home match and have already allowed two goals to the likes of Brighton, Watford and Crystal Palace within the last couple months.
Other Options — Glenn Murray, Brighton, $6,100; Joshua King, Bournemouth, $5,300; Kenneth Zohore, Cardiff, $4,800
Kevin De Bruyne, Manchester City at Bournemouth, $8,000 — De Bruyne didn’t make the score sheet last match, yet he had a floor of 15 fantasy points and his price dropped. While Raheem Sterling ($9,000) and Leroy Sane ($9,200) are more likely to score, neither have as good of floor, especially if De Bruyne’s back to playing a full 90. He battled injury all season, but he’s improving by the match with 14 shots and 24 crosses in his last four starts (UCL included).
Other Options — Paul Pogba, Manchester United, $9,700; Matt Ritchie, Newcastle, $7,800; Luka Milivojevic, Crystal Palace, $7,700
Aaron Mooy, Huddersfield at Brighton, $5,400 — After getting some rest last match, Mooy should return to the starting XI at Brighton. He disappointed in his last start, but he is still Huddersfield’s main corner taker and that’s usually good for at least five fantasy points. He’s often above that number as seen in recent outings against Chelsea and Arsenal when his floor was 7.5 points, and Brighton isn’t as good as either of those teams.
Other Options — Solly March, Brighton, $5,900; Jeffrey Schlupp, Crystal Palace, $5,500; Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Southampton, $4,700
Ashley Young, Manchester United vs. Southampton, $5,800 — Young was maybe lucky to score late last match, but he still has a decent floor, which has often been the case against teams in the bottom half of the table. If you throw out the Liverpool match, he’s had at least 10 fantasy points in his last four starts. Over the last 10 matches, Southampton has allowed the fourth-most crosses to defenders and third-most corners to everyone.
Other Options — Benjamin Mendy, Manchester City, $5,900; Matt Doherty, Wolverhampton, $5,400; Luke Shaw, Manchester United, $4,700
Willy Boly, Wolverhampton vs. Cardiff, $3,700 — Boly’s production has been a bit all over, but he has at least one shot in six of his last seven starts and that should help his floor to at least three points before a possible clean sheet. The defensive work may not be there, but the upside potential is against a weak Cardiff team, that has allowed the third-most shots to defenders in the last 10 gameweeks.
Other Options — DeAndre Yedlin, Newcastle, $3,500; Chris Smalling, Manchester United, $3,400; Angelo Ogbonna, West Ham, $2,900
Tom Heaton, Burnley vs. Crystal Palace, $4,700 — Heaton doesn’t have the best matchup, but he doesn’t cost an overwhelming amount, and he has shown he won’t completely flop. He’s averaging 3.78 saves per start and has at least five fantasy points in all four home starts. That consistency combined with the unreliability of the top options makes him an easier play.
Other Options — Ederson, Manchester City, $5,900; Rui Patricio, Wolverhampton, $5,700; Mat Ryan, Brighton, $5,500
Jonas Lossl, Huddersfield at Brighton, $4,000 — Brighton has scored one goal in its last three home matches, and no more than one in their last six. Huddersfield at least has some confidence after a recent win and Lossl is usually competent against mediocre clubs. He won’t allow more than a couple of goals and if all goes well, will make a few saves.
Other Options — Vicente Guaita, Crystal Palace, $4,600; Martin Dubravka, Newcastle, 4,300; Artur Boruc, Bournemouth, $3,700
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