Liverpool are the biggest favorite on the slate, and it’d be a mistake if you don’t go after at least one of their goal scorers. Otherwise, you can either bank on Arsenal for the EPL $40K Grow the Game [$10K to 1st] or a mess of mediocre favorites that are rarely reliable.
Mohamed Salah, Liverpool vs. Bournemouth, $10,900 — Salah’s price is at its lowest point in a couple weeks, and that’s perfect for the situation. He might not have a floor above 10 fantasy points, but he has the best odds to score on the slate and will be hard to fade. Liverpool have struggled in recent matches, but all signs point to a rebound. Bournemouth have lost their past seven road matches in league play, allowing multiple goals in each of them, including three at Man City, four at Man United and five at Tottenham.Other Options — Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Arsenal, $10,000; Sadio Mane, Liverpool, $9,100; Roberto Firmino, Liverpool, $8,100
VALUESSteve Mounie, Huddersfield vs. Arsenal, $5,500 — There are a couple value forwards to consider, but I have faith in Arsenal to allow a goal, something they’ve done in every league road match this season. Mounie also has a worthwhile floor that’s usually around five fantasy points as he averages 3.15 shots per 90 minutes. Even if he doesn’t make the score sheet against the Gunners, he shouldn’t be a complete bust.
Other Options — Shane Long, Southampton, $5,700; Callum Paterson, Cardiff, $5,400; Troy Deeney, Watford, $5,200
STUDSLuka Milivojevic, Crystal Palace vs. West Ham, $8,000 — Milivojevic was useful only as a penalty taker last season, but on the majority of free kicks and corners for Palace, he’s become a legitimate fantasy threat and is the most expensive he’s been all season. That’s usually not a good sign, but he’s been on corners the past few weeks and his floor has been near 10 fantasy points because of that. James Ward-Prowse ($8,300) could be more popular, though I prefer the cheaper option who’s also on penalties. Other Options — James Ward-Prowse, Southampton, $8,300; Felipe Anderson, West Ham, $7,900; Pascal Gross, Brighton, $7,800
VALUESJoe Ralls, Cardiff at Southampton, $3,900 — Until Victor Camarasa returns to the lineup, Ralls is a steal with 14 corners in the past three matches to go with six crosses from open play. Even when they both started at Newcastle, Ralls still managed seven crosses. This could be another similar outing because Southampton have allowed the fifth-most corners and sixth-most crosses this season. Ralls has at least 4.8 fantasy points in his past three starts, and that’s good for a punt.
Other Options — Philip Billing, Huddersfield, $5,600; Ashley Westwood, Burnley, $4,900; Declan Rice, West Ham, $3,800
STUDSLucas Digne, Everton at Watford, $6,800 — Digne is as automatic as it gets for a defender in terms of producing 10 fantasy points. He’s had at least 9.5 fantasy points in each of his past six starts, averaging 9.04 crosses per 90 minutes for the season. Watford have allowed the seventh-most crosses to defenders and fourth-most corners all season. Other Options — Jose Holebas, Watford, $6,200; Andrew Robertson, Liverpool, $5,500; Nacho Monreal, Arsenal, $5,400
VALUESPablo Zabaleta, West Ham at Crystal Palace, $4,400 — Zabaleta isn’t a flashy play, but he has at least six fantasy points in his past three starts, which is just above his average for the season. When these teams met at the beginning of December, he racked up a floor of 9.5 points from four crosses and three fouls drawn. He might not reach that number again, but Palace have allowed the second-most crosses to defenders for a reason.
Other Options — Kevin Long, Burnley, $3,800; Joe Bennett, Cardiff, $3,700; Sol Bamba, Cardiff, $3,500
STUDSVicente Guaita, Crystal Palace vs. West Ham, $5,200 — Guaita has the fourth-best odds to secure a clean sheet, but he’s allowed just two goals in the past five matches he’s finished. Even better, West Ham are far from guaranteed to find the back of the net, having failed to score in their past three road trips in league play, none of those against top clubs (Burnley, Bournemouth, Wolverhampton). Other Options — Alisson, Liverpool, $6,000; Bernd Leno, Arsenal, $5,600; Alex McCarthy, Southampton, $5,500
VALUESTom Heaton, Burnley at Brighton, $4,200 — Burnley might be underdogs, but this match has the lowest expected goal total on the slate. Heaton has been a steal since returning to the starting XI with at least five fantasy points in all six starts and double digits in three of them. Brighton are also in a bit of a funk and haven’t scored in their past three home matches in all competitions.
Other Options — Jordan Pickford, Everton, $4,500; Neil Etheridge, Cardiff, $4,100; Jonas Lossl, Huddersfield, $4,000
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