Wednesday’s slate may be one of the most loaded of the season with every major club in action. Three of them are large favorites and will draw the most eyes, but that also means there are a lot of bargains from the lesser teams and that could be what decides the EPL $50K Grow the Game [$10K to 1st] .
Alexandre Lacazette, Arsenal vs. Bournemouth, $8,700 — Lacazette doesn’t have the best scoring odds, but his price doesn’t feel right and that’s why I’m backing him. He has scored in four of his last five starts and has made the score sheet in his last five starts at home. That’s a safe play considering teammate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is more expensive and their numbers aren’t much different. Per 90 minutes, Lacazette averages 2.69 shots and 1.10 chances created while Aubameyang is at 2.85 shots and 1.11 chances created.
Other Options — Mohamed Salah, Liverpool, $10,600; Sergio Aguero, Manchester City, $10,200; Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Arsenal, $9,900; Leroy Sane, Manchester City, $9,700
Aleksandar Mitrovic, Fulham at Southampton, $5,700 — I normally don’t touch Mitrovic on the road, but given his price and possible upside, he’s worth a look, especially in a GPP. At a minimum, he’ll reach at least three fantasy points and should surpass that since he averages 3.52 shots per 90 minutes. The other part is that he scored a brace in the first meeting with Southampton, a team that lost 2-1 against Cardiff in its last home match.
Other Options — Daniel Sturridge, Liverpool, $6,500; Ryan Babel, Fulham, $6,100; Joshua King, Bournemouth, $5,600
Kevin De Bruyne, Manchester City vs. West Ham, $8,200 — De Bruyne is another guy whose price is hard to ignore. He hasn’t been a great fantasy play most of the season due to injury, but as long as he starts, he’s been able to reach 10 fantasy points, averaging 2.36 shots and 6.74 crosses per 90 minutes. That showed up in the recent Champions League trip to Schalke in which he finished with four shots and seven crosses. And since he wasn’t asked to go the full 120 minutes in Sunday’s Cup match, he should start against West Ham.
Other Options — Paul Pogba, Manchester United, $9,300; Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Arsenal, $8,000; David Silva, Manchester City, $7,500
Jean Michael Seri, Fulham at Southampton, $4,000 — This isn’t a safe play after Seri was subbed after 45 minutes last match, but he’s extremely cheap given the matchup. Plus, he’s reached at least four fantasy points in his last six starts, including when he was subbed early. As long as he starts, corners should keep his floor high, especially against Southampton, who have given up the sixth-most this season.
Other Options — Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Southampton, $5,700; Fabinho, Liverpool, $4,100; Abdoulaye Doucoure, Watford, $3,500
Ashley Young, Manchester United at Crystal Palace, $5,400 — This isn’t the best defender slate, but Young will do with a floor of at least 10 fantasy points in three of his last four starts. His corner numbers have been hard to project, but with Juan Mata and Marcus Rashford injured, he should get the majority of them. Crystal Palace has allowed the most crosses to defenders this season, so that should help Young’s floor even more.
Other Options — Matt Targett, Southampton, $5,600; Andrew Robertson, Liverpool, $5,500; Ryan Bertrand, Southampton, $5,000
Calum Chambers, Fulham at Southampton, $3,600 — Chambers has held a fairly consistent floor as a defensive midfielder, often accruing tackles and interceptions, but also adding shots to boost his value. He’s taken at least two shots in five of his last six starts and that’s better than any defender at this price.
Other Options — Patrick van Aanholt, Crystal Palace, $3,900; Laurent Koscielny, Arsenal, $3,700; Jannik Vestergaard, Southampton, $3,200
David De Gea, Manchester United at Crystal Palace, $5,200 — It’s not often that De Gea is priced the same as Southampton’s goalkeeper, but that’s what this slate presents. De Gea is almost a lock to get at least five fantasy points since when he does allow goals, he usually makes up for it with saves, averaging 3.48 per start. And while Palace is playing well, there’s no guarantee they’ll find the back of the net since only a month ago they were held scoreless by Cardiff and Chelsea at home.
Other Options — Ederson, Manchester City, $6,000; Alisson, Liverpool, $5,900; Bernd Leno, Arsenal, $5,700
Vicente Guaita, Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United, $4,300 — Guaita has yet to secure less than four fantasy points in a match he’s finished because similar to De Gea, he also makes saves whenever he allows a goal or two. In the last 10 gameweeks, Man United has the third-most goals (23), yet have 11 more shots on goal (72) than anyone else. Guaita may allow a goal, but the Red Devils have a few injuries and the save opportunities should be there, per usual.
Other Options — Hugo Lloris, Tottenham, $4,600; Sergio Rico, Fulham, $4,200; Lukasz Fabianski, West Ham, $3,600
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (username: rotozdroik) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.