Saturday’s Premier League slate isn’t great, but that doesn’t mean there aren’t places to capitalize. Newcastle is the biggest favorite, yet it wouldn’t be surprising if any of the six teams grabbed a full three points. That’s why focusing on one of the underdogs could prove useful in one of the King of the Pitch Qualifiers.
Joshua King, Bournemouth vs. Wolverhampton, $8,200 — The slate is void of elite clubs, but there are still plenty of players with solid floors to choose from. King won’t be the most popular forward, but that’s why he draws my attention. He has at least 8.5 fantasy points in six of his last seven home starts with the lone down performance coming against Liverpool. And while the Cherries are underdogs, they’ve been a good team at home, scoring multiple goals in their last four in league play.
Other Options — Raul Jimenez, Wolverhampton, $8,800; Andros Townsend, Crystal Palace, $8,700; Salomon Rondon, Newcastle, $8,100
Adama Diakhaby, Huddersfield at Newcastle, $5,000 — There aren’t many places to go if you’re looking for value at forward, but Diakhaby could at least provide a floor. He recently moved into the starting XI and unfortunately for him, those starts came against Man City, Everton, Chelsea and Arsenal. Against the Gunners, he managed five shots and while he may not reach that mark again, there will be opportunities against Newcastle, a team that has allowed the fifth-most shots in the league.
Other Options — Ayoze Perez, Newcastle, $5,600; Christian Benteke, Crystal Palace, $4,900; Elias Kachunga, Huddersfield, $4,700
Luka Milivojevic, Crystal Palace at Leicester, $8,500 — Since moving onto corners, Milivojevic has been a lock with at least 9.5 fantasy points in his last six starts. A trip to Leicester won’t slow him down as they’ve taken one point from their last five matches. Pushing him above others in his range is that he’s also on penalties, which isn’t a huge deal, but something that’s been a boon to his fantasy value over the last couple years.
Other Options — Ryan Fraser, Bournemouth, $8,600; Matt Ritchie, Newcastle, $8,400; Joao Moutinho, Wolverhampton, $7,200
Isaac Hayden, Newcastle vs. Huddersfield, $4,600 — Hayden has oddly been productive with one goal and two assists in the last four matches and none of those have been as favorable as this home contest against Huddersfield. His floor doesn’t stand out, but he’s cheap for a reason. Huddersfield tends to lose the ball a lot in the attack so that will help his defensive stats along with possibly a couple of shots. That’s led to nearly five fantasy points in starts when he hasn’t made the score sheet.
Other Options — Christian Atsu, Newcastle, $4,900; Wilfred Ndidi, Leicester, $4,600; Juninho Bacuna, Huddersfield, $4,000
Ricardo Pereira, Leicester vs. Crystal Palace, $6,400 — Pereira’s price is a bit extreme, but he has the best floor with at least eight fantasy points in eight of his last nine starts. It helps when he makes the score sheet, but in addition to crosses, he also adds a couple tackles and interceptions per match. Even better, Crystal Palace has allowed the most crosses to defenders this season, and Pereira had six on the road last meeting.
Other Options — Matt Doherty, Wolverhampton, $5,500; Patrick van Aanholt, Crystal Palace, $4,600; DeAndre Yedlin, Newcastle, $4,300
Steve Cook, Bournemouth vs. Wolverhampton, $3,700 — With so few high-floor defenders on the slate, Cook is a perfect value play since his floor is often near four fantasy points. Getting forward has also helped with at least one shot in four of his last six starts. To help Cook’s floor, even more, Wolves have forced the fourth-most tackles from defenders this season.
Other Options — Harry Maguire, Leicester, $3,700; Nathan Ake, Bournemouth, $3,600; Zanka, Huddersfield, $3,500
Martin Dubravka, Newcastle vs. Huddersfield, $5,500 — Dubravka doesn’t cost an overwhelming amount for having the best odds to win and secure a clean sheet. He’s hit at least five fantasy points in six of his last seven starts and the matchup is as good as it gets since Huddersfield has scored just one goal in its last four road matches, including failing to score at Fulham and Cardiff.
Other Options — Kasper Schmeichel, Leicester, $5,100; Rui Patricio, Wolverhampton, $4,800
Vicente Guaita, Crystal Palace at Leicester, $4,500 — Guaita continues to produce in almost every situation with at least four fantasy points in the last eight starts he’s finished. Leicester is the second-biggest favorite on the slate, but that doesn’t mean anything given the matchups. Plus, Leicester is struggling home and away, scoring more than one goal in just one of their last seven matches, the lone decent performance being a 4-3 loss at Wolves.
Other Options — Artur Boruc, Bournemouth, $4,700; Ben Hamer, Huddersfield, $4,000
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