Saturday isn’t really a packed slate, but there are some intriguing matchups that will likely produce goals for unexpected players. Manchester United is the biggest favorite, yet their production has been hard to project with Paul Pogba ($8,700) struggling to join the attack. And while there may be a couple of chalk plays, the EPL $25K Double Brace Special [$5K to 1st] will likely be decided by a value play or two.
Romelu Lukaku, Manchester United vs. West Ham, $9,100 — The majority of people will likely roster Gylfi Sigurdsson ($9,400), but Lukaku is a possible pivot with more upside. He may not have the same floor, but he’s cheaper than teammate Marcus Rashford ($10,100) and he’s more likely to score for the Red Devils. Even in more difficult matchups, Lukaku has produced a couple of shots with at least one coming on net. He should have a few opportunities against West Ham, who have lost six of their last seven away matches.
Other Options — Marcus Rashford, Manchester United, $10,100; Gylfi Sigurdsson, Everton, $9,400; Raul Jimenez, Wolverhampton, $8,900
David Hoilett, Cardiff at Burnley, $5,800 — Hoilett is coming off a couple of difficult matches against Man City and Chelsea, yet still managed a decent four-point floor. Even though he’s sharing corners, he’s still producing 3.43 crosses per 90 minutes in addition to a few defensive stats, which usually keeps his floor around five points and often more. He’s more expensive than usual because of the matchup, but he still isn’t overly expensive against a team that’s given up the second-most accurate crosses in the league.
Other Options — Aleksandar Mitrovic, Fulham, $6,500; Glenn Murray, Brighton, $5,600; Alireza Jahanbakhsh, Brighton, $5,300
Ryan Fraser, Bournemouth at Brighton, $8,300 — Fraser is as easy as it gets if you want someone that will post 10 fantasy points. His only down outings come against the best teams and Brighton isn’t in that category. Fraser has at least eight fantasy points in his last four starts and at least 10 points in six of his last nine. Even though Bournemouth is away, Brighton isn’t going to slow Fraser down from reaching his usual crossing numbers.
Other Options — Paul Pogba, Manchester United, $8,700; James Ward-Prowse, Southampton, $8,100; Victor Camarasa, Cardiff, $7,800
Idrissa Gueye, Everton at Fulham, $4,800 — Gueye may not have much upside, but he continues to hit value with at least seven fantasy points in three of his last four starts. He’s been surprisingly consistent in fantasy despite rarely joining the attack. Most of those numbers come from winning tackles and interceptions, which are what Fulham are the worst at, giving up the third-most tackles won this season.
Other Options — David Brooks, Bournemouth, $5,300; Felipe Anderson, West Ham, $4,900; Leander Dendoncker, Wolverhampton, $4,000
Lucas Digne, Everton at Fulham, $6,400 — Digne is the most expensive defender, but he’s worth it with at least 12 fantasy points in four of his last five starts. This is also a great chance for him to make the scoresheet, averaging 8.35 crosses and 2.03 chances created per 90 minutes. Everton should be set for a couple of goals and Digne will get up the field enough to hold another floor near 10 points, better than any other defender.
Other Options — Ashley Young, Manchester United, $5,800; Ryan Bertrand, Southampton, $5,500; Bernardo, Brighton, $5,200
Bruno, Brighton vs. Bournemouth, $3,700 — Bruno returned to the starting XI last match and still managed 3.5 fantasy points without a cross at Chelsea. His floor could surpass that against Bournemouth, a team that has allowed the third-most crosses to defenders this season. Brighton also has a slight chance for a clean sheet since Bournemouth’s attack is struggling, recently losing at home to Burnley and failing to score at Leicester last away match.
Other Options — James Tarkowski, Burnley, $3,600; Calum Chambers, Fulham, $3,600; Sean Morrison, Cardiff, $3,100
Tom Heaton, Burnley vs. Cardiff, $5,300 — None of the goalkeepers are easy to trust so it’ll be tough to spend a high price on one. Heaton has the second-best odds to win and secure a clean sheet, and he has allowed just one goal in the last two matches. Sure, he’s not easy to trust, but Cardiff has a league-low nine away goals this season.
Other Options — David de Gea, Manchester United, $5,700; Jordan Pickford, Everton, $5,500; Mat Ryan, Brighton, $5,000
Lukasz Fabianski, West Ham at Manchester United, $3,800 — If you don’t want to spend up at goalkeeper, Fabianski is an easy choice. He’s rarely in the negative and has already put in solid away performances against the likes of Chelsea and Man City. While he could allow multiple goals, he’s made at least five saves in three of his last five starts and that would keep him viable again.
Other Options — Angus Gunn, Southampton, $4,800; Asmir Begovic, Bournemouth, $4,500; Sergio Rico, Fulham, $4,100
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