The last two tickets to the round of 16 will be punched on the final day of group stage action. Let’s break down the scenarios and look at which players could benefit based on what’s at stake.
Iker Casillas – $5,700 – Porto – It’s win and you’re in for Porto, as a loss or draw to Leicester could see Copenhagen leapfrog them for the last spot in the round of 16. Leicester already have first place locked up, and will likely be fielding several new faces with nothing to play for in this one. A five point win bonus looks automatic, and if the funds are available, Casillas is one of the safer cash game plays on the board in my opinion.
Robin Olsen – $5,100 – Copenhagen – Copenhagen stand a chance to nip Porto for second place and a spot in the knockout round. They’ll need two things to happen in order to advance – win at Brugge and hope for a Porto draw or loss against Leicester. The only downside is that Leicester have already clinched first place in Group G, so they don’t need to go all out in this spot and will likely be resting several starters. Olsen registered a pair of saves and finished with 14 points in a 4-0 win over Brugge in their first meeting and will need to turn in a similar performance to give Copenhagen a shot of advancing.
Others to Consider – Anthony Lopes (Lyon; $4,800), Sergio Rico (Sevilla; $4,600), Arkadiusz Malarz (Legia Warsaw; $4,100)
Ludwig Augustinsson – $5,500 – Copenhagen – Augustinsson has double-digit crosses in four straight UCL games and has averaged 17.5 DK points over that stretch. You’re paying up for a defender with set-piece upside, but for me the price is still very reasonable. For example, a similarly priced midfielder that has been producing fantasy points at the rate Augustinsson has would be a lock in my cash lineups. As noted above, Copenhagen are still fighting for a ticket to the round of 16, so we can expect a motivated Augustinsson to continue to produce.
Benjamin Mendy – $4,400 – Monaco – Mendy has a combined 26 crosses, two assists and 40 DraftKings points in his last two UCL outings. He was rested domestically over the weekend, but is in contention to return to the lineup for Wednesday’s group stage finale at Leverkusen. There is some hesitation considering Monaco have already locked up first place in Group E, but the low salary combined with big crossing totals will make Mendy a tough fade if he’s announced as a starter.
Others to Consider – Miguel Layun (Porto; $6,000), Peter Ankerson (Copenhagen; $4,800), Ben Chilwell (Leicester City; $2,500)
Marco Reus – $8,000 – Borussia Dortmund – Reus returned from injury with a bang, wasting no time in scoring two goals and adding an assist to rack up 34 points in an 8-4 win over Legia Warsaw. He’s coming off a scintillating three assist game in a 4-1 win over Borussia Monchengladbach on Saturday, and while Real Madrid presents a bigger challenge than both of those, Reus is priced too low for the damage that he’s capable of doing. With both teams battling for first-place in Group F, their high octane attacks could produce some fireworks. If the goals start flowing, there’s a good chance Reus will be involved.
Matthew Valbuena – $5,700 – Lyon – Valbuena has come back to life with two goals and an assist in his last two games domestically. He’s usually good for 5-7 crosses each game, and he’s in another good spot with Lyon forced to attack needing to win by at least two goals to advance.
Others to Consider – Thomas Lemar (Monaco; $7,000), Hakan Calhanoglu (Bayer Leverkusen; $7,700), Luca Modric (Real Madrid; $5,500)
Alexandre Lacazette – $8,400 – Lyon – Lacazette leads Lyon with 11 goals on the season and will be needed today if Lyon have any hope of advancing to the knockout round. With Lyon needing to win by at least two goals to advance, they should be seeking out their hitman early and often. He’s committed three fouls or more in three straight UCL games, which isn’t encouraging but can be overlooked with Lyon pressing for goals.
Andre Silva – $8,000 – Porto – Silva will look to make it four straight UCL games with double-digit fantasy points. He’s in the midst of a four game scoring slump across all competitions, but with Porto in need of a win he jumps off the board as a good GPP play in my opinion. He fired off five shots and hit double-digits without scoring in his last outing, and facing a second-string Leicester defense could spark a bounce back effort from Silva.
Others to Consider – Cristiano Ronaldo (Real Madrid; $10,400), Gonzalo Higuain (Juventes; $9,000), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Borussia Dortmund; $8,800)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is MONEYMACHiNE) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.